Jan 11, 2017 Ħalli messaġġ

Konnettività karozza li jsuq fil-futur

Iż-żgħarusersincreasinglyopentosmartvehicleoptions

Howshouldwerefertocarconnectivity? Atfirst,itwasknownasandquot;telematicsandquot;,aweirdnomenclaturecreatedbytheITindustrythroughthecombinationoftelecommunicationsplusinformatics.Itembracedcommunicationbetweendriversandthecallcentersoftheoriginalequipmentmanufacturers(orthirdparties)toobtainservicesorassistance,suchasreal-timetrafficinformation,roadsiderescue,andcardiagnostics. Importanti, carownersneededtopayannualfeesof500yuan($77) to1, 200yuanforsuchservices.

Earlythisdecade, andquot; connectedcarsandquot; becamethetermofchoice, asitreferredtonotonlythefunctionsoftelematics, butalsoV2V orV2X (vettura-lill-vettura) (-għall-infrastruttura tal-vetturi) funzjonijiet, aimedatabetterdrivingsafetyandbettertrafficflows.

Butindustrypeoplequicklydecidedthisnamewasnotsexyenough, sotheystartedusingthephraseandquot; smartcarsandquot;. Thisreferstonotonlyconnectedcars, butalsoautonomousdriving, andincludesnew-enerġija-vettura, especiallyall-electricvehicle, it-teknoloġija.

Thelong-termvisionforsmartcarsis100percentautonomousdriving, togetherwithIntelligentTransportSystems, whichcanreleasepeoplefromtheburdenofdrivingandreducetrafficaccidents.

Therewillbefewercrashesandcollisions, sinceallvehicleswillbecontrolledbyamega-matrixsystem, nothandledbyhumanbeings.

Ifthiscanberealizedin20to30yearsaspredicted, theautoindustrywillbeturnedupsidedown.

Sincetherewillbenodrivers, therisksofanaccidentwillbesignificantlyreduced, andallthefeaturesusedtoattractcustomerstoday, suchasdrivability, it-tqandil, il-andsafetyfeatureswillnolongerbesellingpoints.

L-vitaliu #39; brainand #39;

Andifsafetyfeaturesarenolongeranimportantfeature, therewillbenoneedtostamporlaserweldsuperstrongcarbodiesortopassstringentcollisiontests.

Thusthesafetytechnologybarrierswillbeloweredforcarmanufacturers.Themostimportantpartofthecarwillbetheandquot;brainandquot;,andtheembeddedTelematicsControlUnit,theandquot;brainandquot;,tofacilitateaccesstotheinternet.

GiantITcompaniessuchasGoogleorApplearebetterpositionedinthiskindoftechnologicalcompetition,sincetheyhaveexperienceofcomputerhardwareandsoftwareintegration,andofdevelopingalgorithms,whichareallvitalforautonomousdriving.

Traditionalcarcompaniesmayfindthemselveslosingtheircompetitiveedgequicklyovertime.

Tomakethingsworse, carsharinghasbecomeverypopularamongtheyoungergeneration.

Itcanbeexpectedthatforyoungpeopleinbigcities, punctualandsafetransportationfrompoint-Atopoint-Bbyanautonomouscarwhenevertheysendarequestwillbecomethenormandowningacarwillbecomelessimportant.

Thislong-termfutureisterrifyingforthetraditionalautoindustry, becausethatwillmeantheworldwillneedfewernewcarseachyear. Industryestimatessuggestthatinthenottoodistantfuture, globalnewvehiclessaleswilldeclineby30to50percentfromtodayand #39; s80millionunits.

ThatwillbeaccompaniedbynewcompetitorsintheformoftheIT/internetgiants, whichwillbeabletoleveragetheiradvantagesinwhatwillbethenewsellingpoints. Fortraditionalautocompanies, andquot; tobeornottobeandquot; isanexistentialquestionthatisbecomingevermorepertinent.

Madankollu, fromtodayand #39; srealityoftraditionaltelematicsservicestothefuturein30years, thereisstillalongwaytogo. Mostglobalautocompanieshavestrategicplansorroadmapstotransitionintotechnologycompanies.

Duringthistransitionera, thekeywillbetograbthebigdataofthecarsanddriversfirst, andthentodevelopdifferentlevelsofautonomousdrivingtechnologies.

ThepreconditionforhavingaccesstobigdataistohaveanembeddedtelematicsTCUsysteminthecarfirst.

Todayand#39;sembeddedtelematicsserviceshavebeendevelopingformorethan10yearsinChinabutstill,theserviceslookmoreliketheicingonthecake,andcarownersdonotagreetheseandquot;servicesandquot;arenecessitiesfordriving. Sowhiletheywelcomethesenewfunctions, theyfirmlyrefusetopayextraforthem. Thustheinstallationratioofembeddedtelematicsinnewcarswaslessthan10percentbytheendof2015.

Ġoddakonnettivitàmogħdijiet

Sinceconsumersrelyonandtrustthemapsontheirsmartphonesmorethanthemapsystem,recentlysmartphoneconnectivitysystemsthatuseacarand#39;sbuilt-indisplaysuchasAppleand#39;sCarPlayandBaiduand#39;sCarLifehavebecomepopularwithconsumersastheyallowthemapsonsmartphonestobeusedwithoutanyextraannualfees.Suchsystemsareexpectedbepartofmorethan80percentofnewcarsalesinfiveyears.

Madankollu, aphoneconnectionsolutioncannotkeepthecaronlineallthetime, andsincetheyarethirdpartydevicestheycannotintegratewithavehicleand #39; sCAN-BUSdeeplyenoughforautonomousdriving.

Therefore,fromanindustrypointofview,onlyanembeddedTCUsystemcandothejob.Atthesametime,automakersareplanningtoreducetheservicesprovidedbycallcentersandshiftinsteadtocloudsystemsformoreself-serviceexperiences,sothattheannualfeescanbereducedoreliminated.

ItisestimatedthatembeddedTCUsystemswillbeavailableinthecomingtwotothreeyearsfromallthetraditionalautomakers.

Interestingly, inthisregard, itisindustryneedsinsteadofconsumerdemanddrivingconnectedcarsandsmartcarsforward. AndpolicydoesnotplayamajorroleheresincetherearenoregulationsabouttelematicsincarsinChina(althoughtherearesomeinthecommercialvehiclesector).

Autonomousdrivingremainsattheexperimentalstageduetothetechnologycurrentlyavailableandthelegalrisksshouldtherebeanaccident,butmanystartupentrepreneursbackedbyventurecapitalhaveannouncedambitiousplanstoandquot;buildandquot;smartcars:electricvehicleswithadvanceddriverassistancesystemsandcarconnectionfeatures.

VCdarlings

Whiletheydonothaveexperienceofdevelopingormanufacturingcars, theydohaveagoodunderstandingofhowtotellstoriestoventurecapitalists. Konnessi, awtonoma, electriccarsaredefinitelyafavoriteforventurecapital.

Notlongago, onesmartcarcompanyand #39; sexecutiveinchargeofmanufacturingcomplainedinternally: andquot; Ihaveonlytwoquestions:first, whydoesthiscompanywanttomanufactureacarinthefirstplace? It-tieni, howwillitsellthiscartothemarket? Tilltoday, Idonand #39; tseeanyseriousdiscussionaboutthesetwoquestions! andquot;

Ovvjament, thisexecutiveisatraditionalcarguy; hedoesnotunderstandcapitalmarketrulesortrends.

Madankollu, itand #39; s2016, not2046. WearenotintheidealdrivingenvironmentofIntelligentTransportSystemsyet,thereforemanufacturingsmartcarsstillhasthehighbarriersassociatedwithmanufacturingatraditionalcarasthegeneralassemblyprocesses,suchasstamping,weldingandcoating,cannotyetbebypassed. Agoodunderstandingofcapitalmarketsisfarfromenough.

Whetherbyatraditionalcarcompany, oranewstartuporanITcompany, thehopeistherewillbemoreandquot; quietandquot; smartcartechnologydevelopmentinChina; moredoingandlesstalk


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